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Been grinding Bitcoin dice on various crypto casinos for the past 3 months and something's bugging me about the numbers. 7Bit Casino advertises their dice at 99.01% RTP (1% house edge) but my tracking spreadsheet shows I'm running about 4.2% below expected after 8,400 rolls.
Here's what I logged over the weekend session (Friday night to Sunday):
- Total rolls: 1,247
- Target: 50.5% win chance (should hit ~629 times)
- Actual wins: 591 (47.4%)
- Bet size: 0.0001 BTC consistent
- Expected loss: ~0.012 BTC
- Actual loss: 0.056 BTC
I know variance is a thing, especially over shorter samples, but this gap feels excessive. The provably fair hash checks out clean on every roll I spot-checked (about 50 random ones). Anyone else tracking their dice results this closely? Either I'm hitting a brutal downswing or there's something off with their RTP calculation.